ORIGINAL PAPER
The Integration of Artificial Intelligence in Modern Deterrence: Opportunities and Challenges
 
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War Studies University (Akademia Sztuki Wojennej)
 
 
Submission date: 2025-01-16
 
 
Final revision date: 2025-11-07
 
 
Acceptance date: 2025-11-17
 
 
Publication date: 2025-12-29
 
 
Corresponding author
Tadeusz Zieliński   

War Studies University (Akademia Sztuki Wojennej)
 
 
JoMS 2025;64(4):365-386
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Objectives:
TIn the modern era, AI introduces a transformative paradigm shift, integrating cyber, informational, and autonomous dimensions into deterrence frameworks. This integration empowers states with unprecedented capabilities in real-time data analysis, predictive threat assessment, and automated decision-making processes. However, these advancements also pose significant risks, including unintended escalation, ethical dilemmas, and challenges to transparency and accountability. This article explores AI's dual role as both a stabilizing force and a potential disruptor in deterrence. Specifically, the research examines how AI can enhance deterrence strategies while addressing the risks associated with its deployment. The study also seeks to provide actionable policy recommendations that align AI’s transformative potential with principles of ethical governance and global stability.

Material and methods:
The research adopts a qualitative methodology, reviewing existing literature on deterrence theory, AI applications in defense, and case studies such as the SolarWinds cyberattack and the Colonial Pipeline incident.

Results:
Findings indicate that AI significantly enhances situational awareness, decision-making speed, and multi-domain coordination, enabling proactive deterrence strategies. However, the risks of algorithmic opacity, adversarial exploitation, and reduced human oversight undermine traditional principles of signaling and crisis management. The study underscores the need for international norms, explainable AI technologies, and robust oversight mechanisms to mitigate these challenges.

Conclusions:
Addressing these imperatives, the article contributes to a nuanced understanding of AI’s role in modern deterrence and offers pathways for responsible integration to promote global security.
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ISSN:1734-2031
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